Conflict and tension are omnipresent, and markets typically aren’t impacted materially.
This MarketMinder Minute evaluates how stocks generally react to terrorism.
Free societies and markets are too resilient for terrorism to materially impact them.
As we remember the events of September 11, 2001, we take a look back at how terrorism has historically impacted stocks.
Tragically, Ukraine is the center of attention again. But the situation as it pertains to global stocks hasn’t changed much.
Recent foreign policy flubs shouldn’t hurt stocks—they’re just more fuel for the gridlock markets love.
Historically, geopolitical tensions move stocks less than you might think.
Tensions are flaring in Egypt, but history shows this shouldn’t much impact global stocks.
This week in governments … governing.
Thanks to France’s Constitutional Council, incomes over €1 million won’t be taxed at 75% in 2013, but President François Hollande may try again for 2014.
With the election of Park Geun-hye as Korea’s next president Wednesday, the outlook for free trade appears bright.
Japan’s new prime minister pledged to end his nation’s long-running economic funk, but his planned fiscal and monetary stimulus likely won’t combat Japan’s deep structural issues.
A look at some of Tuesday’s international squabbling over financial regulation.
Economic reality doesn’t seem to have influenced Moody’s downgrade of France as much as political pressures likely did.
At this week’s ASEAN and East Asian summits, free trade talks trump territorial disputes.
The latest on Greece’s aid negotiations.
While the US hunkered down for Hurricane Sandy, Europe was plenty busy.
Japan and China’s land dispute may have some short-term economic impact, but it shouldn’t derail global growth.
Scotland got clearance to hold a referendum on independence in two years. What does this mean for Scotland and the UK?
Eleven eurozone nations agreed to pursue a financial transactions tax—a misguided endeavor, in our view.
India and Hungary have made notable economic policy shifts in recent days.
Another “critical week for the euro,” a proposal to ring-fence eurozone banks and putting the cart before the horse on jobs and economic growth.
The skinny on this week’s elections in Venezuela and Georgia.
It is a mistake to underestimate the political willingness of those in Europe to support the euro.
Europe was busy Wednesday, with some potentially significant steps toward resolution underway.
The latest on Greek budget negotiations and Germany’s upcoming court ruling on the ESM.
Neither market history nor current events should give investors an automatic reason to fear September.
Greece and India have huge economic differences, but both could benefit from private sector expansion.
Catalonia’s bailout request provides a window to Spain’s fascinating history.
A territorial dispute between South Korea and Japan may stall their trade talks, but the global free-trade march continues.
During the latest critical week for the euro, Angela Merkel makes a video and the Greek bailout renegotiations heat up.
A brief update on what’s being heralded as another “critical” week for the euro.
As Greece continues politicking over economic reform, Portugal demonstrates the benefits of getting more competitive.
While EU officials take heat for their treaty-focused slow-go approach during another supposedly “critical week for the euro,” they should earn kudos for taking that same approach during Romania’s democratic crisis.
From the Olympics to Mt. Olympus and Mario Draghi—all eyes were on Europe on Thursday.
A roundup of Tuesday’s more head-scratching developments.
What NOT to expect at this week’s not-so-make-or-break EU summit.
All the latest on the Greek and French elections.
The skinny on Spain’s bank rescue agreement.
As Spain and Germany debate how to support Spanish banks, there are signs a compromise is in the offing.
Markets were jittery again Wednesday tied likely to Greek news—even though it wasn’t particularly new news.
Seems some supra-national bodies were busy handing out (unsolicited) advice Tuesday.
Alexis Tsipras is stirring the debate in Greece … and apparently playing chicken with EU leaders.
In the wake of last week’s parliamentary election, Greek politics are getting a bit more bizarre.
A look at the French and Greek election results.
As Spain officially re-enters recession, EU leaders debate how to stoke growth.
Demand was strong at Spanish and French debt auctions despite jitters over Spain’s borrowing costs and France’s election.
Spotty data over the course of Q1 have worried some about not only China’s chances for growth this year, but also the world’s. So what do the data have to say?
As global manufacturing continues expanding broadly, regional reports highlight some interesting happenings around the world.
As global manufacturing continues expanding broadly, regional reports highlight some interesting happenings around the world.
A look at what may be motivating German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
Despite some protectionist politicking, EU trade is getting freer.
A brief look at some of Wednesday’s global news items, including Spain’s attempt at irony and Hungary’s latest tempest.
Oil prices have risen lately, resurrecting some old theories regarding their impact.
Greece continued to make incremental progress Thursday, and additional signs of the eurozone’s multispeed economy emerged.
Greece’s parliament passed a key austerity vote on Sunday, but that’s just one mile marker in a grueling marathon.
Eurozone officials continue to show ample willingness to forestall a sudden and disorderly euro breakup.
Greek debt talks are down to the wire. But what does that mean?
2012 isn’t just a US election year—globally it’s an active election year.
At EU leaders’ first 2012 summit, officials jousted over Greek funding and the new fiscal compact.
A survey of the eurozone’s latest.
Japan’s been quite busy the last few days—here’s a quick rundown of some primary stories.
Spanish yields, the ECB and Hungarian politics dominated European news on Tuesday.
Lessons from the markedly different lives of Kim Jong Il and Vaclav Havel.
Measures enacted by the ECB Thursday are far from a cure-all to fix the eurozone’s copious issues—but they do represent incremental steps to add liquidity at a time when it’s perceived to be much needed.
Wednesday marked a couple momentous global milestones—each a testament to democracy’s resilience, in starkly different ways.
A look at why a sudden eurozone splintering could be quite bad. And why it’s quite unlikely.
Tobin Tax rhetoric heated up between Germany and Britain Wednesday—a debate that’s a bit of a head-scratcher, in our view.
In economic news Tuesday, eurozone GDP grew modestly, US wholesale inflation was tame and US retail sales grew again.
A look at what’s in store for Italy’s new Prime Minister, Mario Monti.
New governments in Italy and Greece are a step in the right direction to help fix their fiscal houses.
Euro politics dominated headlines again Tuesday, but eurozone musical chairs wasn’t the only story. Here’s a look at what news caught our eye.
The latest on Greece and Italy.
It’s been a busy 24 hours for the eurozone. Expect the debate to continue in the coming days, but for Greece, the choices are few.
Greece continues the tradition of political grandstanding over eurozone bailout plans.
A look around the web at some of Tuesday’s not-so-new news.
Wednesday brought more eurozone news—some new, some not-so new, but none terribly surprising.
China’s Q3 GDP growth at 9.1% seems a normal deceleration and an intentional set-up for reacceleration in 2012.
Germany tempered the world’s expectations for an overnight eurozone fix, keeping with the gradual approach we’ve seen thus far.
A look around the eurozone at some recent news—both commonly reported and much less heard.
Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel have a plan to keep the eurozone intact, but they won’t share it until month’s end.
Although much remains to be done, the eurozone made incremental improvements to its various debt woes Thursday.
European officials announced a proposal Wednesday that would implement an EU-wide financial transaction tax. While ill-advised in our view, if implemented, it’s an incremental negative markets likely overcome.
We survey the latest Greek headlines and sift between those stories with substance…and those without.
While peripheral Europe is often referred to collectively, this obscures the fact the issues confronted are different in magnitude, severity, potential resolutions and progress.
S&P downgraded Italy’s credit rating Monday and the IMF lowered its estimate of global growth Tuesday. But are these changes as negative as they seem?
Amid heightened rumors of a Greek debt default, a look at Monday’s flurry of Greece-centric headlines.
Markets seemed to cheer Germany’s Wednesday court ruling supporting recent eurozone bailouts—but what does that tell you about stocks’ longer-term outlook?
While debate over EFSF changes continues, Greece appears to be making some small headway.
Political posturing between eurozone politicians and new derivations of existing debt fears could continue to contribute to market volatility in the short term.
Though the media’s focused on US developments, the bigger news is in Europe. While problems do exist in Europe, fears seemingly exceed reality—much like in the US.
Debt ceiling dramatics came to a conclusion Tuesday, leaving many frustrated in its wake. Here’s a look around the news at what’s poking that frustration—and largely unnoticed remedies.
White-hot, fear-based rhetoric is flying around the debt ceiling as politicians try to sell their positions. And, some links.
The plot surrounding eurozone debt issues continues to unfold—but are things becoming more complex or less?
Moody’s downgraded Portugal Tuesday—but that’s not a huge surprise. Overall, Europe’s indicated they have the means and the desire to backstop struggling eurozone countries.
France announced a plan Monday to help Greece avert a total debt disaster—a pleasant departure from France’s historical record.
Negotiations over Greece’s bailout took three steps forward on Friday —but two steps back on Monday.
The IMF gave the Greek drama a breather on Thursday, reducing the immediate need for a bailout and austerity measures for the time being.
OPEC left oil production quotas unchanged Wednesday, but the impact on markets is likely minimal and short term in nature.
It seems no one is happy about the pace of anyone else’s financial regulation—the EU thinks the US is too slow and vice versa.
Disbanding the euro isn’t a magic solution to Europe’s debt woes.
S&P once again downgraded Greece’s rating—but EU officials are likely to continue to provide financial support as necessary to avoid a collapse of the euro currency.
Portugal announced preliminary details of its bailout package Wednesday. But are bailouts really the heart of the matter?
Recent local elections suggest gridlock is taking hold in Europe.
Global stocks have largely shrugged off short-term declines in the aftermath of Japan’s earthquake and tsunami. However, political debate on the future of nuclear energy rages on.
Lost amid the headlines, eurozone officials made positive strides in overhauling bailout fund terms—but there’s still plenty of work to do.
As oil prices rise, many speculate about the future using comparisons to recent history. But it's important to keep historical comparisons in perspective when making forward-looking decisions.
Unrest in Libya could have a material impact on global energy supplies and prices.
Unrest in Egypt continues, but don't overestimate its potential to impact global markets.
The EU held an economic summit last week—but concrete results were lacking, with dissent across the board.
Sharp food price swings are stoking inflation in some countries, but monetary policy likely isn't the answer.
Tensions in Egypt escalated over the weekend as riots continued—but global economic fundamentals remain strong.
The President dropped a tempting teaser in his State of the Union address Tuesday night when he discussed deregulation. We've got some ideas of where to start.
|Despite successful auctions by Portugal and Europe's periphery, sovereign debt fears remain. However, the worst-case scenario—a disorderly EMU breakup—remains unlikely in 2011. |
|China cut rare earth export quotas again, but the reduction does not appear particularly spiteful. |
|Protectionist measures endanger prosperity—and are often based on misleading official data. |
|Geopolitical tensions on the Korean peninsula knocked stocks Tuesday.|
|This year's wave of free trade agreements shows cooperation among nations is increasing, despite recent protectionist headlines. |
|Rumors are flying over the details of "Basel III” international banking standards ahead of Sunday's big reveal.|
|Global stocks shed mid-week gains on Friday, tied to one story that was positive but not positive enough, and gamesmanship from a new Hungarian politician. |
|British GDP declined for the sixth straight quarter, fueling fears the UK may recover slower than most countries.|
|Markets are discounters of known information, so they can be jolted by surprises. |
|There's little need for pols to further discuss global stimulus—it's already in the works.|
|What should investors be vigilant of now? Look abroad. |
|Despite OPEC's pledge to cut oil production, some analysts are still predicting depressed oil prices for 2009. But such predictions typically don't hold water in the long run. |
|The leaders of the Group of 20 are hoping to prevent future financial crises.|
|For the second time in less than a year, Japan's getting a new prime minister.|
|As tensions escalate in Georgia, the question is, beyond the human costs, should folks be concerned? |
|Geopolitical events are scary but completely unpredictable. You can't plan a portfolio around them, and history shows you wouldn't want to anyway.|
|The annual Group of Eight summit will likely amount to little more than illusions. |
|A showdown between Nicolas Sarkozy and Europe's trade commissioner threatens to turn world trade talks upside down. |
|The British government wants the BOE to be the "stabilizer” for the British financial system. Alas, the plan is merely another political knee-jerk reaction. |
|Uncertainty abounds as Irish voters head to the polls to decide the fate of the EU's Lisbon Treaty. |
|From Venezuela to Northern Rock, nationalization is rearing its ugly head, though history teaches us it almost always ends badly. |
|In a bizarre twist of irony, the British government exacerbated credit problems by blocking a merger between banks earlier this year. The episode underscores both the perils of government intervention and the gross misunderstanding of today's so-called "credit crunch.”|
|China's historic bull market run-up probably has further to climb, but investors should use extreme caution before making a foray into Chinese equities. |
|Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party suffered a stunning defeat in the upper house election on Sunday, giving up control in the chamber to the opposition Democratic Party of Japan. What does it mean for global stocks?|
|International military conflicts and terrorism can sometimes have a big impact on stocks. But probably not exactly in the way you'd think. |
|Political turmoil returns to the world's second largest economy.|
|One of Superman's arch-enemies is Bizzaro.|
|The recent Group of Seven (G7) meeting in Essen, Germany was ho-hum.|
|Since the coup earlier this year (see our past commentary: "Could a Thai Coup Overthrow the Markets?"), Thailand's new military-installed government has made a major economic policy gaffe.|
|If you read the newspaper in the past several weeks, you would think emerging economies were on the brink of imploding: a coup in Thailand, an assassination of a central banker in Russia, a budget fiasco and rioting in Hungary and a political maverick in Mexico declaring his own government after losing an election fair and square.|
|Protectionism is lurking and ready to rear its ugly head again.|
|A story hit the wires around midday that Thailand's Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra has declared a state of emergency in response to a military coup.||
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