Into Perspective

Fear and Loathing and European Politics

09/15/2016

Investors needn’t fear recent political developments on the Continent. 

Four False Financials Fears

03/28/2016

Financials are in better shape than most presume.

Illusions of Bond ETF Illiquidity

02/11/2016

Longstanding fears surrounding high-yield bond ETF liquidity are detached from the data.

The Unexpected China Offset

12/22/2015

Slowing Chinese economic growth is being offset by an ignored-but-accelerating eurozone.

Greek Contagion Risk Is Minimal

08/11/2015

Seven charts show Greece’s problems are contained.

European Parliament Elections—Setting Expectations

05/23/2014

A peek at the ongoing European Parliamentary election.

FATCA Follies

03/28/2014

2010’s Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act is being implemented. While it likely does affect Americans abroad, markets likely see little impact.

Wholesale Skeptics

12/10/2013

A quick look at October inventory data may add valuable perspective to the debate over US GDP growth’s sustainability.

Heating Up—A Look at UK Housing

11/27/2013

UK housing has seen rapid price increases recently. But before calling a bubble, consider: Could one area be skewing the average?

Chinese Fundamentals: Likely Fine, Not Falling

09/12/2013

Investors may be pleasantly surprised by China’s improving economic data.

The Definition of Surprise Power

08/30/2013

Because US involvement in Syria is being weighed publicly the world over, it is unlikely to carry enough shock or surprise power to materially affect stocks.

German Election Preview

08/26/2013

Four potential outcomes of Germany's elections next month.

Will Emerging Markets Throw a Taper Tantrum?

07/19/2013

Evidence suggests Emerging Markets can hold up just fine once quantitative easing ends.

May 2013 Japanese Trade Update

06/27/2013

An increase in Japanese export values doesn’t mean Japan’s quantitative easing program (QE) is working.  

Labor Reform—The Elixir for the Eurozone’s Woes?

06/03/2013

Could France, Spain and Italy benefit from labor reforms as much as Germany did a decade ago?

What to Expect From Italy’s New Government

05/01/2013

A look at Italy’s new government and its likely policy agenda.

March 2013 Japanese Trade Update

04/19/2013

Perhaps the weakened yen’s stimulative impact is pending, but there are few signs of it in March trade data.

A Look at Japan’s Energy Reforms

04/16/2013

Yen weakness and expensive energy imports may be the catalyst for energy market deregulation in Japan—an important step to regaining economic competitiveness.

Deflating Chinese Housing Bubble Fears

03/20/2013

Chinese housing bubble fears have seemingly surfaced again. However, such fears fail to recognize the unique characteristics of the Chinese property market, make too-direct comparisons to US housing and underestimate the Communist government’s resolve to prevent a housing market bubble from bursting.

Industry Watch: The Growing Diabetes Risk

02/11/2013

Firms that can meet a growing global health risk are poised to benefit.

China’s 18th Party Congress

11/09/2012

China’s power transition this week is an important event, but it’s unlikely to surprise markets or mean much in the way of change ahead.

Japan: Can’t We All Just Get Along?

10/30/2012

America isn’t the only nation that makes political hay over budgetary stalemates.

“Austerity,” Lending and the UK Economy

10/22/2012

Spending cuts are often blamed for the UK’s recession, but data suggest regulatory uncertainty plays a much bigger role.

Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results

10/17/2012

Investors’ would be well-served to focus on the future rather than drive by looking in the rear-view mirror.

Geopolitics and Markets - Israel and Iran

09/27/2012

Putting concerns over Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions in context.

A Maturing Bull Market Likely Favors Big Growth

06/14/2012

The bull market looks likely to continue, but with changed leadership.

US Durable Goods Orders Up Slightly

05/25/2012

What do slowing durable goods orders mean for the US economy?

China’s Private Lending Steps Out of the Shadows

05/02/2012

China’s incremental financial system reforms are small steps in the right direction, but there’s much further to go.

A Closer Look at Financials

04/03/2012

A brief look at Financials’ performance since the 2009 bear-market bottom and some considerations in forming forward-looking expectations.

A Fresh Look at Mobile Computing

03/28/2012

Smartphones and tablets aren’t the only way to participate in mobile computing opportunities.

A Discussion of Health Care Reform’s Impact on Health Care Stocks

02/09/2012

Love or hate the Affordable Care Act, it may influence Health Care stocks less than you think.

Elastic Health Care Demand?

02/08/2012

In the past few years, it seems many patients deferred procedures as a result of economic hardship. Improving macroeconomic conditions should drive patient utilization rates higher.

Oil’s Next Act

01/04/2012

Oil production has never been an easy exercise. But the increasing importance of deep water and shale production has introduced new challenges—and opportunities.

In Emerging Markets, Don’t Forget Indonesia

12/21/2011

Is Indonesia an overlooked Tiger?

If Europe Faces Recession, Can the US Economy Still Continue to Grow?

12/02/2011

Troubles in Europe have raised the question, “If Europe faces a recession, can the US economy still continue to grow?” Recent data suggest it can.

Flash Update: October Japanese Data

12/02/2011

Economic releases over the last few days showed broad improvements in Japan’s economy in October.

A Look at Iron Ore Prices

11/18/2011

A look at what iron ore prices can tell us about the economy.

Sector Flash: Pharmaceuticals

11/16/2011

Looming patent expirations, legislative uncertainty and disappointing R&D results have long weighed on Pharmaceuticals stocks. But while those fears help explain the past, focusing on them exclusively can blind your view of the future.

Japan Enters Trans-Pacific Partnership Conversations

11/16/2011

Japan takes a step toward joining the Pacific Rim free trade zone.  

US Manufacturing—Alive and Well

10/27/2011

Here’s a graphical illustration of the fact US manufacturing is far from dead.

US GDP Growth Accelerates in Q3

10/27/2011

US Q3 GDP growth accelerated in Q3, contradicting dour economic sentiment.

US Economic Update

10/17/2011

A smattering of August and September data demonstrates fears of a US recession immediately ahead are likely overdone.

Research Flash: European Bank Funding Markets

09/26/2011

For several months, many have said European banks are having issues with US dollar-based funding. And to an extent, they’ve been right, but that’s not the whole story.

Don’t Be Tempted By India

09/19/2011

India’s a temptress (capital markets-wise). Don’t be seduced—at least not for the balance of 2011.

Research Flash: An Employment Snapshot

09/08/2011

New reports from the BLS suggest today’s net job creation is on pace with past recoveries.

A Discussion on Consumer Credit Trends

08/23/2011

The US consumer is in better shape than many believe.

How Will the Election Year Impact Your Portfolio?

08/11/2011

Many investors miss a powerful pattern tied to a regular phenomenon: US presidential terms.

Country Flash: Tension in Turkey

08/10/2011

A look at the political changes Turkish stocks are contending with.

China’s Election Cycle - Planning for 2012

08/04/2011

Over half way through 2011, China looks unlikely to outperform the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. However, 2012 may be a different story.

US Q2 2011 GDP and a Word on Revisions

07/29/2011

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis announced its first estimate of US Q2 2011 GDP Friday and its revisions to prior data.

Weighing Two Drivers for Pharmaceutical Stocks

07/22/2011

Weighing two important drivers for Pharmaceutical stocks shows one widely known negative and one widely underappreciated positive.

Fisher Investments Research: Why You Should Be Thankful China’s Currency Isn’t Rising

07/07/2011

Many decry China’s yuan as artificially undervalued—but China’s currency rising radically would pose far more problems than it would solve.

US Q1 2011 GDP – A Depiction in Four Charts

06/24/2011

The third estimate of US Q1 2011 GDP was released Friday. Here are four of many possible looks at the data.

International Air Traffic and the Commercial Aerospace Industry

06/24/2011

Increasing globalization provides a potential tailwind for the commercial aerospace industry.

China: Bank Bailout Rumor

06/08/2011

A recent report suggests China may recapitalize its banking system. While the report is unverified, it also wouldn’t be an unprecedented act.

Preliminary Q1 Eurozone GDP Beats Estimates

05/13/2011

The preliminary reading of Q1 eurozone GDP released Friday beat estimates.

Oil Prices and the US Economy

05/05/2011

Three charts help put rising oil prices into economic perspective.

Unconventional Drilling Techniques’ Impact on Energy Markets

04/19/2011

The combination of two technologies and an old resource has created a US natural gas production boom.

Libyan Oil Disruption Duration

04/08/2011

History provides some context for expectations regarding the duration of Libyan oil production’s interruption.

Research Flash—US Inflation

03/25/2011

With recent concern about increasing US inflation levels, it’s worth taking a closer look at the actual recent data to determine whether the concern is warranted at present.

Commentary on the WTI – Brent Differential

03/11/2011

An unprecedented phenomenon is currently afoot in the Energy sector—the price differential between West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude oil hit an all-time discount. Here's a look at what's driving this gap.

Sector Flash: Financials—US Bank Health Continues Improving

03/08/2011

Banks are much healthier than they were just a few years ago and shouldn’t pose a serious threat to economic growth moving forward.

A Q&A on China's (Semi-) Command Economy

03/03/2011

China isn’t likely to sacrifice growth in the name of inflation fighting. Here’s why.

The Eurozone in Perspective

12/29/2010

The recent highly publicized struggles of the euro notwithstanding, a euro collapse remains unlikely in the next two years.

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